The previous post looked at the effect of gold in a portfolio for the 10-year period 1990-2009. Some may say that 10 years is not statistically long enough to be meaningful. So in this post I take a look at the 38 years from 1972 through 2009. To start, I selected a widely-followed portfolio of […]
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Tue, January 12 2010 » Analysis, Blog, Gold » Comments Off on Longer Term Look at Gold in a Portfolio
Should a portfolio own gold? I am on the quest to obtain the definitive answer to that question. Here are the results of one exercise in which I take a model Vanguard portfolio and compare it with the same portfolio with a 25% allocation to gold for the time period 1999 through 2009. Here is […]
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Mon, January 11 2010 » Analysis, Blog, Gold » Comments Off on Portfolios: Gold or No Gold?
Let’s go back and gather up the gains for 2005 and 2006 to add to our analysis with this chart. As you can see, the Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio still has the best “top-leftedness” of these select Lazy Portfolios. It had an annualized return of 8% with an annualized standard deviation of 8.8%. That results […]
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Wed, January 6 2010 » Analysis, Blog » Comments Off on Lazy Portfolio 2005 – 2009 Return vs. Risk Chart
Here is a chart that sort of goes with the previous posting’s table. I have taken just a few of the portfolios of interest and computed their standard deviation for the time period of three years. Then plotted their ANNUALIZED return on the Y axis vs. their annualized standard deviation along the X axis. Remember […]
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Mon, January 4 2010 » Analysis, Blog » Comments Off on Risk vs Return Chart 2007 – 2009
Here’s an early look at how the professional Lazy Portfolios have performed for the past 3, 2, and 1 years ending 31 December 2009. These are cumulative returns, with dividends reinvested. Data comes from Yahoo! Finance into my spreadsheet. There may be errors in the data. Some funds may not yet have reported dividends for […]
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Mon, January 4 2010 » Blog » Comments Off on Lazy Portfolio Results for 3, 2 and 1 Years
Hey folks, I’m still here. Been doing a lot of golfing, amusement park going, beach combing, etc. I love summer and hot weather and don’t want to waste it by being indoors. This is just a ping to let you know everything is fine and that you can expect a show 161 probably next week. […]
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Wed, June 24 2009 » Announcements, Blog » Comments Off on Ping.
Leveraged Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) such as FAZ, FAS, and SKF are designed to multiply the DAILY PERCENTAGE change of the underlying index by factors of 2 or 3. They are thus toxic to your wealth and must not be held. Here’s a simple explaination of why. Take the FAS which is the 3X of […]
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Mon, April 20 2009 » Analysis, Blog » Comments Off on Levered ETFs are Toxic. Here’s Why.
Here’s the link to see all three parts, including some that did not appear on TV, of The Daily Show’s Jon Stewart and Mad Money’s Jim Cramer. I’ll discuss on show 150.
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Fri, March 13 2009 » Blog, Cramer, Fun, Video » Comments Off on See All Three Rounds Here
Yeah, Cramer v. Stewart . I’ll be watching (once my DVR has finished recording it). Thanks Barry for doing the compilation. I especially like #3.
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Thu, March 12 2009 » Blog, Cramer, Fun, Video » Comments Off on Guru Smackdown Tonight
On Jim Cramer’s Mad Money show on Monday February 23rd, Jim said about SKF , the 2X UltraShort Financials ETF: "…they don’t even perform as expected. The index the SKF tracks is down 14% over the past three months, so you’d figure an ETF that double or triple shorts that index would offer great returns, […]
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Wed, February 25 2009 » Analysis, Blog, Cramer » Comments Off on Cramer says SKF doesn’t work right. Is he right?
The Austrian economists anticipated the present crisis. Should we listen to them when it comes to their predictions about what comes next? In one voice they are saying we will experience inflation unlike we’ve seen in the USA in over 100 years. Inflation is defined as the increase in the supply of money and credit. […]
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Thu, February 19 2009 » Analysis, Blog, Gold, Predictions, Reviews, Uncategorized » Comments Off on Investments for Inflationary Times (to Come?)