Mad Money Machine

by Paul Douglas Boyer

Lazy Portfolios Q3 Update

Here’s a summary of how the “Lazy Portfolios” (as seen in The Kirk Report at thekirkreport.com) have done through the 3rd Quarter of 2007. I will provide more detail of the makeup of each portfolio here and on the podcast. I also show each portfolio’s annualized performance for the previous 1.75 and 2.75 years.

NOTE THAT THESE ARE THE EQUITY ONLY PORTIONS OF EACH PORTFOLIO. I REMOVED THEIR BOND COMPONENT (IF ANY).

Sorted by long-term performance:

2007 Annualized Annualized
Lazy Portfolio YTD Since 12/31/05 Since 12/31/04
IndexFolio 100 7.54% 18% 16.5%
IndexFolio 95 7.53% 18.1% 16.5%
IndexFolio 90 7.51% 18.2% 16.4%
WisdomTree 10.1% N/A N/A
Bill Schultheis’ Coffeehouse Portfolio Three ETF 8.7% 17.5% N/A
Scott Burns’ Six Ways from Sunday Portfolio 12.2% 20.7% 20.7%
Ted Aronson’s Lazy Portfolio 15.7% 20.6% 19.5%
Merriman Vanguard Equity 10.7% 20.2% 17.9%
Andrew Tobias’ Lazy Portfolio 12.8% 19.7% 16.5%
Scott Burns’ Margarita Portfolio 12.8% 19.7% 16.5%
John Wasnik’s Nano Investment Portfolio 7.2% 18.6% 15.9%
Scott Burns’ Five Fold Portfolio 6.9% 18.3% 15.7%
Scott Burns’ Four Square Portfolio 6.9% 18.3% 15.7%
Mad Money Machine: Do It Yourself 8.6% 17.4% 15.6%
Jim Lowell’s Sower’s Growth Portfolio 12.1% 17.8% 15.6%
David Swensen’s Lazy Portfolio 7.1% 17.7% 15.1%
William Bernstein’s No Brainer Cowards Portfolio 8.3% 16.9% 14.8%
Ben Stein 2007 8.0% 16.2% 14.3%
William Bernstein’s Basic No-Brainer Portfolio 9.7% 16.4% 13.6%
Bill Schultheis’ Coffeehouse Portfolio Vanguard 5.4% 15.7% 13.2%
Frank Armstrong’s Ideal Index Portfolio 8.0% 15.0% 12.7%
Bill Schultheis’ Coffeehouse Portfolio ETFs 3.3% 14.4% 11.8%
Scott Burns’ Couch Potato Portfolio 8.7% 13.9% 11.0%
Ben Stein Retirement -2.6% 12.4% 10.9%
Dow Jones 11.6% 16.2% 9.7%
S&P 500 Index 8.0% 12.4% 8.9%
NASDAQ Composite 12.2% 12.5% 8.3%

Now the short-term, YTD sort:

2007 Annualized Annualized
Lazy Portfolio YTD Since 12/31/05 Since 12/31/04
IndexFolio 100 7.54% 18% 16.5%
IndexFolio 95 7.53% 18.1% 16.5%
IndexFolio 90 7.51% 18.2% 16.4%
Ted Aronson’s Lazy Portfolio 15.7% 20.6% 19.5%
Andrew Tobias’ Lazy Portfolio 12.8% 19.7% 16.5%
Scott Burns’ Margarita Portfolio 12.8% 19.7% 16.5%
NASDAQ Composite 12.2% 12.5% 8.3%
Scott Burns’ Six Ways from Sunday Portfolio 12.2% 20.7% 20.7%
Jim Lowell’s Sower’s Growth Portfolio 12.1% 17.8% 15.6%
Dow Jones Industrial Average 11.6% 16.2% 9.7%
Merriman Vanguard Equity 10.7% 20.2% 17.9%
WisdomTree 10.1% N/A N/A
William Bernstein’s Basic No-Brainer Portfolio 9.7% 16.4% 13.6%
Bill Schultheis’ Coffeehouse Portfolio Three ETF 8.7% 17.5% N/A
Scott Burns’ Couch Potato Portfolio 8.7% 13.9% 11.0%
Mad Money Machine: Do It Yourself 8.6% 17.4% 15.6%
William Bernstein’s No Brainer Cowards Portfolio 8.3% 16.9% 14.8%
Ben Stein 2007 8.0% 16.2% 14.3%
Frank Armstrong’s Ideal Index Portfolio 8.0% 15.0% 12.7%
S&P 500 Index 8.0% 12.4% 8.9%
John Wasnik’s Nano Investment Portfolio 7.2% 18.6% 15.9%
David Swensen’s Lazy Portfolio 7.1% 17.7% 15.1%
Scott Burns’ Five Fold Portfolio 6.9% 18.3% 15.7%
Scott Burns’ Four Square Portfolio 6.9% 18.3% 15.7%
Bill Schultheis’ Coffeehouse Portfolio Vanguard 5.4% 15.7% 13.2%
Bill Schultheis’ Coffeehouse Portfolio ETFs 3.3% 14.4% 11.8%
Ben Stein Retirement -2.6% 12.4% 10.9%

Here is the detailed holdings of each portfolio. The 3rd column is the original portfolio percentage including bonds. The last column shows the equity weightings without bonds.

Details of IFA IndexFolio 100 are here.

  Symbol % Allocation % Equity Only
WisdomTree      
DTD WISDOMTREE TTL DIV 15% 15%
EXT WisdomTree Total Earnings Fund 15% 15%
DHS WISDOMTREE H-Y EQ TR 10% 10%
DTH WISDOMTREE DIEFA HY 10% 10%
DKA International Energy Sector 10% 10%
DPN International Consumer Non-Cyclical Index 10% 10%
EZY WisdomTree Low P/E Fund 10% 10%
TOTAL 100% 100%
Ben Stein 2007
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF 35% 35%
EFA ISHARES MSCI EAFE FD 20% 20%
EEM ISHARES MSCI E.M.I.F 10% 10%
ICF ISHARES COHEN & STEERS REALTY 10% 10%
IWN ISHARES RUSSELL 2000 VALUE INDEX FD 10% 10%
Cash 15% 15%
TOTAL 100% 100%
Ben Stein Retirement
RWR DJ Wilshire REIT ETF 50% 50%
DVY ISHARES DOW SEL DIV 50% 50%
TOTAL 100% 100%
Jim Lowell’s Sower’s Growth Portfolio
EFA ISHARES MSCI EAFE FD 25% 25%
IYY ISHARE DJ TOT MKT IN 15% 15%
MDY MidCap SPDRs 15% 15%
DIA DIAMONDS 10% 10%
IWM ISHARES RUSSELL 2000 INDEX FD 10% 10%
EEM ISHARES MSCI E.M.I.F 10% 10%
ONEQ Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index Tracking Stock – Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index Tracking Stock 7.5% 7.5%
PWC PowerShares Dynamic Market Portfolio 7.5% 7.5%
100% 100%
Frank Armstrong’s Ideal Index Portfolio
VGTSX Vanguard Total Intl Stock Index 31% 31%
VBISX Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index 30% 30%
VISVX Vanguard Small Cap Value Index 9.25% 9.25%
VIVAX Vanguard Value Index 9.25% 9.25%
VGSIX Vanguard REIT Index 8% 8%
VISGX Vanguard Small Cap Growth Index 6.25% 6.25%
VFINX Vanguard 500 Index 6.25% 6.25%
100% 100%
John Wasnik’s Nano Investment Portfolio
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF 20% 33%
VGTSX Vanguard Total Intl Stock Index 20% 33%
VNQ Vanguard REIT ETF 20% 33%
TIP ISHARES LEHMAN TIPS 20% 0%
AGG iShares Lehman Aggregate Bond Fund 20% 0%
100%
Andrew Tobias’ Lazy Portfolio
VTSMX Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx 33.30% 50.00%
VGTSX Vanguard Total Intl Stock Index 33.30% 50.00%
VIPSX Vanguard Inflation-Protected Secs 33.30% 0.00%
99.90% 100.00%
William Bernstein’s Basic No-Brainer Portfolio
VFINX Vanguard 500 Index 25% 33%
VTMSX Vanguard Tax-Managed Small Cap Inv 25% 33%
VTMGX Vanguard Tax-Managed Intl 25% 33%
VBISX Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index 25% 0%
100% 100%
William Bernstein’s No Brainer Cowards Portfolio
VFSTX Vanguard Short-Term Investment-Grade 40%
VTSMX Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx 15% 1/4
VISVX Vanguard Small Cap Value Index 10% 17%
VIVAX Vanguard Value Index 10% 17%
VEIEX Vanguard Emerging Mkts Stock Idx 5% 8%
VEURX Vanguard European Stock Index 5% 8%
VPACX Vanguard Pacific Stock Index 5% 8%
VGSIX Vanguard REIT Index 5% 8%
VTMSX Vanguard Tax-Managed Small Cap Inv 5% 8%
100% 100%
Bill Schultheis’ Coffeehouse Portfolio Three ETF
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF 33.3% 50.0%
EFV ISHARES MSCI VLU IDX 33.3% 50.0%
AGG iShares Lehman Aggregate Bond Fund 33.3% 0.0%
100% 100%
Bill Schultheis’ Coffeehouse Portfolio ETFs
AGG iShares Lehman Aggregate Bond Fund 40% 0%
IVV ISHARE S&P 500 INDX 10% 17%
IVE ISHARE SP500 BAR VAL 10% 17%
EFA ISHARES MSCI EAFE FD 10% 17%
IYR ISHARE DJ R EST INX 10% 17%
IWN ISHARES RUSSELL 2000 VALUE INDEX FD 10% 17%
JKJ ISHARES MRGN SM CORE 10% 17%
100% 100%
Bill Schultheis’ Coffeehouse Portfolio Vanguard
VBMFX Vanguard Total Bond Market Index 40% 0%
VFINX Vanguard 500 Index 10% 17%
VIVAX Vanguard Value Index 10% 17%
VGTSX Vanguard Total Intl Stock Index 10% 17%
VGSIX Vanguard REIT Index 10% 17%
VISVX Vanguard Small Cap Value Index 10% 17%
NAESX Vanguard Small Cap Index 10% 17%
100% 100%
David Swensen’s Lazy Portfolio
VTSMX Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx 30% 43%
VGSIX Vanguard REIT Index 20% 29%
VGTSX Vanguard Total Intl Stock Index 20% 29%
VIPSX Vanguard Inflation-Protected Secs 15% 0%
VFISX Vanguard Short-Term Treasury 15% 0%
100% 100%
Scott Burns’ Couch Potato Portfolio
VTSMX Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx 50% 100%
VIPSX Vanguard Inflation-Protected Secs 50% 0%
100% 100%
Scott Burns’ Margarita Portfolio
VTSMX Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx 33.30% 50.00%
VIPSX Vanguard Inflation-Protected Secs 33.30% 0.00%
VGTSX Vanguard Total Intl Stock Index 33.30% 50.00%
99.90% 100.00%
Scott Burns’ Four Square Portfolio
VTSMX Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx 25% 33%
VIPSX Vanguard Inflation-Protected Secs 25%
VGTSX Vanguard Total Intl Stock Index 25% 33%
VGSIX Vanguard REIT Index 25% 33%
100% 100%
Scott Burns’ Five Fold Portfolio
VTSMX Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx 20% 33%
VIPSX Vanguard Inflation-Protected Secs 20%
VGTSX Vanguard Total Intl Stock Index 20% 33%
VGSIX Vanguard REIT Index 20% 33%
BEGBX American Century International Bd Inv 20%
100% 100%
Scott Burns’ Six Ways from Sunday Portfolio
VTSMX Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx 16.7% 25.0%
VIPSX Vanguard Inflation-Protected Secs 16.7% 0.0%
VGTSX Vanguard Total Intl Stock Index 16.7% 25.0%
VGSIX Vanguard REIT Index 16.7% 25.0%
BEGBX American Century International Bd Inv 16.7% 0.0%
VGENX Vanguard Energy 16.7% 25.0%
100.0% 100.0%
Ted Aronson’s Lazy Portfolio
VEIEX Vanguard Emerging Mkts Stock Idx 20% 25%
VFINX Vanguard 500 Index 15% 19%
VPACX Vanguard Pacific Stock Index 15% 19%
VEXMX Vanguard Extended Market Idx 10% 13%
VIPSX Vanguard Inflation-Protected Secs 10% 0%
VEURX Vanguard European Stock Index 5% 6%
VWEHX Vanguard High-Yield Corporate 5% 0%
VUSTX Vanguard Long-Term U.S. Treasury 5% 0%
VISGX Vanguard Small Cap Growth Index 5% 6%
VISVX Vanguard Small Cap Value Index 5% 6%
VTSMX Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx 5% 6%
100% 100%
Merriman Vanguard Equity
VFINX Vanguard 500 Index 10.00% 10.00%
VIVAX Vanguard Value Index 10.00% 10.00%
NAESX Vanguard Small Cap Index 10.00% 10.00%
VISVX Vanguard Small Cap Value Index 10% 10%
VGSIX Vanguard REIT Index 10% 10%
VDMIX Vanguard Developed Markets Index 20% 20%
VTRIX Vanguard International Value 20% 20%
VEIEX Vanguard Emerging Mkts Stock Idx 10% 10%
100.00% 100.00%
Mad Money Machine: Do It Yourself
VFINX Vanguard 500 Index 12.00% 12.00%
VIVAX Vanguard Value Index 12.00% 12.00%
VISVX Vanguard Small Cap Value Index 20.00% 20.00%
VISVX Vanguard Small Cap Value Index 10% 10%
BRSIX Bridgeway Ultra-Small Company 20% 20%
VGSIX Vanguard REIT Index 5% 5%
VTRIX Vanguard International Value 9% 9%
VINEX Vanguard International Explorer(closed) 9% 9%
VEIEX Vanguard Emerging Mkts Index 13% 13%
100.00% 100.00%

Fri, September 28 2007 » Blog

2 Responses

  1. ravjim September 28 2007 @ 11:06 pm

    Paul,

    Why is there a difference between your counting and IFA’s counting regarding the portfolio 100 return?

  2. Paul Douglas Boyer September 28 2007 @ 11:43 pm

    The MarketWatch Virtual Stock Exchange is what I used to simulate the IndexFolio 100 by buying each of the funds on the first day.

    As we have come to find out, the VSE system is not all that reliable: it doesn’t reinvest dividends, do splits, do spin offs, etc.

    I really should have just relied on IFA’s numbers and not tried to simulated it. You get what you pay for, I guess.