Mad Money Machine

by Paul Douglas Boyer

Lazy Portfolios Thru June 2010

We have arrived at mid-year 2010 and can now take a look at the half-year results of the lazy portfolios we have been tracking. It looks like the Paul Boyer Permanent Portfolio has gained 1% per month this year. Just four of the portfolios are positive with three of them based around the Permanent Portfolio concept. Portfolios P2 and P1 used Vanguard mutual funds. If we would have used the recommended ETFs TLT, SHY, VTI, VBR, VWO, and GLD, the results were 6.6% and 6.1%, respectively.

ID# Portfolio Name YTD Return
P2 Paul Boyer Permanent Portfolio 6.0%
P1 Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio 5.4%
P3 Permanent Portfolio Fund 2.5%
P23 Larry Swedroe Min Fat Tails 0.9%
P11 Bill Schultheis’ Coffeehouse Portfolio Vanguard -0.3%
P14 David Swensen’s Yale Endowment -0.9%
P17 Scott Burns’ Couch Potato Portfolio -1.3%
P22 Larry Swedroe Simple -1.9%
P7 William Bernstein’s No Brainer Cowards Portfolio -2.0%
P19 Scott Burns’ Four Square Portfolio -2.5%
P13 David Swensen’s Lazy Portfolio -2.5%
P25 IFA Index Portfolio 50 Bright Red  -2.5%*
P12 FundAdvice Ultimate Buy & Hold -2.6%
P20 Scott Burns’ Five Fold Portfolio -3.3%
P10 Ted Aronson’s Lazy Portfolio -3.9%
P24 IFA Index Portfolio 100 Bright Red  -4.4%*
P6 Rick Ferri Core Four -4.6%
P8 William Bernstein’s Basic No-Brainer Portfolio -4.8%
P18 Scott Burns’ Margarita Portfolio -4.9%
P21 Scott Burns’ Six Ways from Sunday Portfolio -5.2%
P15 MMM Do It Yourself Funds -5.2%
P4 Taylor Larimore 3 Fund -5.8%
P5 Taylor Larimore 4 Fund -5.9%
P9 Dilbert World’s Simplest -6.7%
P16 Vanguard Windsor -8.7%

Have you shifted into a Permanent Portfolio yet?

Here are the returns of the individual components of the lazy portfolios:

 

ID FUND NAME TICKER % YTD Return
P1 Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio
 Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx  VTSMX 25% -6.4%
 Vanguard Long-Term Treasury Investor  VUSTX 25% 12.4%
 Vanguard Short-Term Treasury  VFISX 25% 2.1%
 SPDR Gold Shares  GLD 25% 13.4%
5.4%
P2 Paul Boyer Permanent Portfolio
 Vanguard Small Cap Value Index  VISVX 12.5% -1.0%
 Vanguard Emerging Mkts Stock Idx  VEIEX 12.5% -6.9%
 Vanguard Long-Term Treasury Investor  VUSTX 25% 12.4%
 Vanguard Short-Term Treasury  VFISX 25% 2.1%
 SPDR Gold Shares  GLD 25% 13.4%
6.0%
P3 Permanent Portfolio Fund  PRPFX  100% 2.5%
P4 Taylor Larimore 3 Fund
Vanguard Total Intl Stock Index VTSMX 50% -6.4%
Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index VGTSX 30% -12.0%
 Vanguard Total Bond Market Index  VBMFX 20% 4.9%
TOTAL 100% -5.8%
P5 Taylor Larimore 4 Fund
Vanguard Total Intl Stock Index VTSMX 50% -6.4%
Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index VGTSX 30% -12.0%
 Vanguard Total Bond Market Index  VBMFX 10% 4.9%
 Vanguard Inflation-Protected Secs  VIPSX 10% 3.9%
TOTAL 100% -5.9%
P6 Rick Ferri Core Four
Vanguard Total Intl Stock Index VTSMX 48% -6.4%
 Vanguard REIT Index  VGSIX 8% 4.7%
 Vanguard Total Intl Stock Index  VGTSX 24% -12.0%
 Vanguard Total Bond Market Index  VBMFX 20% 4.9%
TOTAL 100% -4.6%
P7 William Bernstein’s No Brainer Cowards Portfolio
Vanguard Short-Term Investment-Grade VFSTX 40% 2.5%
Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx VTSMX 15% -6.4%
Vanguard Small Cap Value Index VISVX 10% -1.0%
Vanguard Value Index VIVAX 10% -6.0%
Vanguard Emerging Mkts Stock Idx VEIEX 5% -6.9%
Vanguard European Stock Index VEURX 5% -16.9%
Vanguard Pacific Stock Index VPACX 5% -6.9%
Vanguard REIT Index VGSIX 5% 4.7%
Vanguard Tax-Managed Small Cap Inv VTMSX 5% -0.9%
TOTAL 100% -2.0%
P8 William Bernstein’s Basic No-Brainer Portfolio
Vanguard 500 Index VFINX 25% -7.2%
Vanguard Tax-Managed Small Cap Inv VTMSX 25% -0.9%
Vanguard Tax-Managed Intl VTMGX 25% -13.7%
Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index VBISX 25% 2.6%
TOTAL 100% -4.8%
P9 Dilbert World’s Simplest
Vanguard Total Intl Stock Index VTSMX 50% -6.4%
Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index VEIEX 50% -6.9%
TOTAL 100% -6.7%
P10 Ted Aronson’s Lazy Portfolio
Vanguard Emerging Mkts Stock Idx VEIEX 20% -6.9%
Vanguard 500 Index VFINX 15% -7.2%
Vanguard Pacific Stock Index VPACX 15% -6.9%
Vanguard Extended Market Idx VEXMX 10% -1.8%
Vanguard Inflation-Protected Secs VIPSX 10% 3.9%
Vanguard European Stock Index VEURX 5% -16.9%
Vanguard High-Yield Corporate VWEHX 5% 2.3%
Vanguard Long-Term U.S. Treasury VUSTX 5% 12.4%
Vanguard Small Cap Growth Index VISGX 5% -1.7%
Vanguard Small Cap Value Index VISVX 5% -1.0%
Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx VTSMX 5% -6.4%
TOTAL 100% -3.9%
P11 Bill Schultheis’ Coffeehouse Portfolio Vanguard
Vanguard Total Bond Market Index VBMFX 40% 4.9%
Vanguard 500 Index VFINX 10% -7.2%
Vanguard Value Index VIVAX 10% -6.0%
Vanguard Total Intl Stock Index VGTSX 10% -12.0%
Vanguard REIT Index VGSIX 10% 4.7%
Vanguard Small Cap Value Index VISVX 10% -1.0%
Vanguard Small Cap Index NAESX 10% -1.4%
TOTAL 100% -0.3%
P12 FundAdvice Ultimate Buy & Hold
Vanguard 500 Index VFINX 6% -7.2%
Vanguard Value Index VIVAX 6% -6.0%
Vanguard Small Cap Index NAESX 6% -1.4%
Vanguard Small Cap Value Index VISVX 6% -1.0%
Vanguard REIT Index VGSIX 6% 4.7%
Vanguard Developed Markets Index VDMIX 12% -13.5%
Vanguard Inflation-Protected Secs VIPSX 8% 3.9%
Vanguard Interm-Term U.S. Treas VFITX 20% 6.3%
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury VFISX 12% 2.1%
Vanguard International Value VTRIX 12% -14.7%
Vanguard Emerging Mkts Stock Idx VEIEX 6% -6.9%
TOTAL 100% -2.6%
P13 David Swensen’s Lazy Portfolio
Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx VTSMX 30% -6.4%
Vanguard REIT Index VGSIX 20% 4.7%
Vanguard Developed Markets Index VDMIX 15% -13.5%
Vanguard Emerging Mkts Stock Idx VEIEX 5% -6.9%
Vanguard Inflation-Protected Secs VIPSX 15% 3.9%
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury VFISX 15% 2.1%
TOTAL 100% -2.5%
P14 David Swensen’s Yale Endowment
Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx VTSMX 30% -6.4%
Vanguard REIT Index VGSIX 20% 4.7%
Vanguard Developed Markets Index VDMIX 15% -13.5%
Vanguard Emerging Mkts Stock Idx VEIEX 5% -6.9%
Vanguard Inflation-Protected Secs VIPSX 15% 3.9%
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury VUSTX 15% 12.4%
TOTAL 100% -0.9%
P15 MMM Do It Yourself Funds
Vanguard 500 Index VFINX 12% -7.2%
Vanguard Value Index VIVAX 12% -6.0%
Vanguard Small Cap Value Index VISVX 20% -1.0%
Bridgeway Ultra-Small Company Market BRSIX 20% -1.9%
Vanguard REIT Index VGSIX 5% 4.7%
Vanguard International Value VTRIX 9% -14.7%
Vanguard International Explorer VGTSX 9% -12.0%
Vanguard Emerging Mkts Stock Idx VEIEX 13% -6.9%
TOTAL 100% -5.2%
P16 Vanguard Windsor  VWNDX  100% -8.7%
P17 Scott Burns’ Couch Potato Portfolio
Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx VTSMX 50% -6.4%
Vanguard Inflation-Protected Secs VIPSX 50% 3.9%
TOTAL 100% -1.3%
P18 Scott Burns’ Margarita Portfolio
Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx VTSMX 33% -6.4%
Vanguard Inflation-Protected Secs VIPSX 33% 3.9%
Vanguard Total Intl Stock Index VGTSX 33% -12.0%
TOTAL 100% -4.9%
P19 Scott Burns’ Four Square Portfolio
Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx VTSMX 25% -6.4%
Vanguard Inflation-Protected Secs VIPSX 25% 3.9%
Vanguard Total Intl Stock Index VGTSX 25% -12.0%
Vanguard REIT Index VGSIX 25% 4.7%
TOTAL 100% -2.5%
P20 Scott Burns’ Five Fold Portfolio
Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx VTSMX 20% -6.4%
Vanguard Inflation-Protected Secs VIPSX 20% 3.9%
Vanguard Total Intl Stock Index VGTSX 20% -12.0%
Vanguard REIT Index VGSIX 20% 4.7%
American Century International Bd Inv BEGBX 20% -6.8%
TOTAL 100% -3.3%
P21 Scott Burns’ Six Ways from Sunday Portfolio
Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx VTSMX 16.7% -6.4%
Vanguard Inflation-Protected Secs VIPSX 16.7% 3.9%
Vanguard Total Intl Stock Index VGTSX 16.7% -12.0%
Vanguard REIT Index VGSIX 16.7% 4.7%
American Century International Bd Inv BEGBX 16.7% -6.8%
Vanguard Energy VGENX 16.7% -14.3%
TOTAL 100.0% -5.2%
P22 Larry Swedroe Simple
 Vanguard Value Index  VIVAX 15% -6.0%
 Vanguard Small Cap Value Index  VISVX 15% -1.0%
 Vanguard Small Cap Index  NAESX 13% -1.4%
 Vanguard Emerging Mkts Stock Idx  VEIEX 4% -6.9%
 Vanguard International Value Inv  VTRIX 13% -14.7%
 Vanguard Inflation-Protected Secs  VIPSX 40% 3.9%
TOTAL 100% -1.9%
P23 Larry Swedroe Min Fat Tails
 Vanguard Small Cap Value Index  VISVX 15% -1.0%
 Vanguard Emerging Mkts Stock Idx  VEIEX 15% -6.9%
 Vanguard Inflation-Protected Secs  VIPSX 35% 3.9%
 Vanguard Short-Term Treasury  VFISX 35% 2.1%
TOTAL 100% 0.9%
P24  IFA Index Portfolio 100 Bright Red 
DFA U.S. Large Company  DFUSX  12% -7.2%
DFA U.S. Large Cap Value  DFLVX  12% -4.4%
DFA U.S. Micro Cap  DFSTX  20% -0.5%
DFA U.S. Small Cap Value  DFFVX  20% -1.4%
DFA Real Estate Securities  DFGEX  5% -1.3%
DFA Intl Value  DFIVX  6% -14.4%
DFA Intl Small Company  DFISX  6% -6.9%
DFA Intl Small Cap Value  DISVX  6% -10.7%
DFA Emerging Markets  DFEMX  4% -6.0%
DFA Emerging Markets Value  DFEVX  4% -6.8%
DFA Emerging Markets Small Cap  DEMSX  5% -1.8%
 TOTAL  100% -4.9%*
P25  IFA Index Portfolio 50 Bright Red 
DFA U.S. Large Company  DFUSX  12% -7.2%
DFA U.S. Large Cap Value  DFLVX  12% -4.4%
US Small Cap  DFSTX  6% -0.5%
DFA U.S. Small Cap Value  DFFVX  6% -1.4%
DFA Real Estate Securities  DFGEX  6% -1.3%
DFA Intl Value  DFIVX  6% -14.4%
DFA Intl Small Company  DFISX  3% -6.9%
DFA Intl Small Cap Value  DISVX  3% -10.7%
DFA Emerging Markets  DFEMX  2% -6.0%
DFA Emerging Markets Value  DFEVX  2% -6.8%
DFA Emerging Markets Small Cap  DEMSX  2% -1.8%
 DFA One-Year Fixed-Income I   DFIHX  10% 0.6%
 DFA Two-Year Global Fixed-Income I   DFGFX  10% 1.1%
 DFA Five-Year Government I   DFFGX  10% 2.8%
 DFA Five-Year Global Fixed-Income I   DFGBX  10% 3.2%
 TOTAL  100% -3.0%*

 

*Note that these results use Yahoo! Finance adjusted historical returns with the exception of IFA portfolios results from IFA.com that include IFA’s fee.

Sun, July 4 2010 » Analysis, Blog